What is the fallout from the US Iran agreement going to be?

The US administration managed to make an agreement with Iran on restricting nuclear arms development but seems to have nuked its own policies on Iran without replacing them. Assuming the agreement is passed by congress and agreed to by the Ayatollah who appears to have grown skittish of both the agreement and his entrenched conservative military, the result will be an Iran no longer on the brink of popular revolt and economic pain. Iran will be able to spread revolution and terror throughout the Middle East but with more mature Russian and Chinese weapons systems. There are two reasons why the Iran agreement has rankled our allies so greatly. The US has traded future Iranian nuclear weapons for more numerous and more sophisticated conventional weapons in the near term by ending sanctions.  We’ll never entirely get back sanctions once they are gone and we have only delayed the Iranian nuclear program rather than killed it. How much have we delayed the Iranian nuclear weapons program is tied to whether they violate the agreement and how good they are at violating the agreement. The other problem for our allies is that we have no longer have a policy on Iran as an exporter of revolution and terror to replace sanctions with.  Iran’s homicidal exports have been the most immediate problem the world has with Iran, especially since the Arab Spring. Is the administration hoping Iran will fight ISIS? Do we want them taking over the Shia parts of Iraq or does the world need an Arab Shia center of gravity alongside the Persian one? If Iran gets more aggressive in Syria, Yemen, Lebanon, Gaza and Iraq will the US push back at all or do we believe they are the lesser evil compared to ISIS? Can’t we fight both?

Unless the Ayatollah chooses not to sign onto the “Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action” President Obama needs a policy to deal with an Iran that is expanding conventionally even as we guard against Iran clandestinely developing nukes that will fit in a future Shahab missile.  This President and the next President ought to have a policy to roll Iran back into Iran which means actively supporting or directly acting against Iranian and their allies’ forces in Syria, Gaza, Yemen, Lebanon and Iraq. Additionally, our policy on sustained violations of the treaty or its unilateral termination by Iran must be the near automatic use of force against both Iranian nuclear facilities, Iranian missile silos and factories that produce rockets and missiles. While we must cobble together whatever sanctions we could when Iran violates the treaty we do so knowing China, India and Russia are not likely to sign back on.  The consequences of Iran violating the treaty must be they will be worse off than they are now in terms of nuclear development, nuclear delivery systems and places outside of Iran to launch from. The upside is that an economically sounder Iran that is unable to export revolution and terror might just have to hitch its wagon to expanding its middle class and begin the process of political reform to accommodate the political needs of an expanding middle class. So far, we’ve heard little of any policy adjustments from the White House much less a vision and the end result of that could be a nuclear arms race in the Middle East and several hot wars where the US and our allies are facing Iran that is far stronger and accomplished militarily than the one we see today.